Research background

AgriMetSoft publications

AgriMetSoft tools are connected to research experience in drought monitoring, statistical downscaling, climate data analysis, precipitation products, and crop-yield modeling.

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Main research themes

Drought monitoring

SPI, PDSI, KBDI, AgMERRA, station data, and drought-severity analysis.

Downscaling

Statistical and dynamical downscaling for climate-model data.

Agriculture

Rainfed wheat, pearl millet, yield prediction, and climate impacts.

Data products

Gridded rainfall, satellite products, reanalysis data, and station gaps.

Selected publications

Publication 1

Prediction of meteorological drought in arid and semi-arid regions using PDSI and SDSM: a case study in Fars Province, Iran

Journal: Springer-Verlag / Theoretical and Applied Climatology

DOI: 10.1007/s40333-020-0095-5

Drought predictionPDSISDSMFars Province
View short abstract

This study evaluated the drought state of Fars Province, Iran using PDSI and meteorological data from six stations. SDSM was used to downscale general circulation model outputs for climate prediction. The results suggested increasing dry periods under future scenarios and supported SDSM as a useful approach for drought prediction in arid and semi-arid regions.

Publication 2

Rainfed wheat yield prediction using economical, meteorological, and drought indicators through pooled panel data and statistical downscaling

Journal: Ecological Indicators

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105991

Crop yieldDrought indicesPanel dataDownscaling
View short abstract

This research used pooled panel data, economic variables, meteorological variables, SPI, SPEI, and downscaled climate projections to estimate future rainfed wheat yield. The results identified key variables such as guaranteed wheat price, precipitation, sunshine hours, cultivated area, and SPI of October.

Publication 3

Climate data clustering effects on arid and semi-arid rainfed wheat yield: a comparison of artificial intelligence and K-means approaches

Journal: International Journal of Biometeorology

DOI: 10.1007/s00484-019-01699-w

ClusteringArtificial intelligenceK-meansRainfed wheat
View short abstract

The study compared ant colony optimization, genetic algorithm, and K-means clustering for identifying climate patterns related to rainfed wheat yield. The genetic algorithm was selected as the best method based on the evaluated clustering criteria.

Publication 4

Comparing the Performance of Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling on Historical Run Precipitation Data over a Semi-Arid Region

Journal: Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences

DOI: 10.1007/s13143-019-00112-1

Dynamical downscalingStatistical downscalingPrecipitationSemi-arid climate
View short abstract

This paper compared dynamical and statistical downscaling methods for historical precipitation over a semi-arid region. The analysis showed that dynamical downscaling performed better during the evaluation period according to several efficiency criteria.

Publication 5

Prediction of climate variables by comparing the k-nearest neighbor method and MIROC5 outputs in an arid environment

Journal: Climate Research

DOI: 10.3354/cr01545

KNNMIROC5Climate variablesArid environment
View short abstract

This study compared k-nearest-neighbor weather generation with MIROC5 outputs for daily precipitation, Tmax, and Tmin in an arid environment. MIROC5 performed better for temperature and precipitation projections in the study region.

Publication 6

Evaluation of different gridded rainfall datasets for rainfed wheat yield prediction in an arid environment

Journal: International Journal of Biometeorology

DOI: 10.1007/s00484-018-1555-x

Gridded rainfallAgMERRAAPHRODITECrop modeling
View short abstract

The study evaluated APHRODITE, PERSIANN, TRMM, and AgMERRA precipitation products against station observations and crop-model simulations. AgMERRA and APHRODITE showed strong potential for filling gaps in ground-observed precipitation data.

Publication 7

Prediction of effective climate change indicators using statistical downscaling approach and impact assessment on pearl millet yield through Genetic Algorithm in Punjab, Pakistan

Journal: Ecological Indicators

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.03.053

Climate changePearl milletGenetic algorithmPunjab
View short abstract

This paper evaluated climate-change indicators and their relationship to pearl millet yield in Punjab, Pakistan using statistical downscaling and a genetic algorithm. The projections suggested negative yield impacts due to future warming.

Publication 8

Predictive value of Keetch-Byram Drought Index for cereal yields in a semi-arid environment

Journal: Theoretical and Applied Climatology

DOI: 10.1007/s00704-017-2315-2

KBDICereal yieldNDVISemi-arid environment
View short abstract

This paper investigated the usefulness of the Keetch-Byram Drought Index for vegetation monitoring and cereal-yield prediction in a semi-arid environment, including comparisons with MODIS-derived NDVI.

Publication 9

Estimation of meteorological drought indices based on AgMERRA precipitation data and station-observed precipitation data

Journal: Journal of Arid Land

DOI: 10.1007/s40333-017-0070-y

AgMERRAMeteorological droughtSPIDrought indices
View short abstract

This research compared several rain-based drought indices calculated from AgMERRA gridded precipitation and station-observed precipitation data. The study supported AgMERRA as a useful source for filling gaps in station precipitation data.